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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,824 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 323d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,781 | +$219 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 323d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,870 | +$31 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 323d | blackbach2 fills | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $12,473 | −$588 −4.7% | — |
| 323d | giftedbytheforest | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,843 | +$27 +0.3% | 4 |
| 324d | Abandoned-Cabbage4 fills | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,776 | −$86 −0.8% | — |
| 324d | Dordorbaby | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 324d | antoine7grizi2 fills | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,905 | −$457 −16% | — |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,106 | +$117 +2.9% | 5 | |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,089 | +$272 +1.9% | 5 | |
| 324d | XZCapital | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,412 | −$53 −0.7% | — |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $10,293 | −$3,043 −30% | — | |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,562 | +$58 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 324d | TerreMoto | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,410 | +$26 +0.6% | 4 |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$12 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | −$9 −0.9% | — | |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$8 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 324d | Fastgaard | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$14 +0.9% | 4 |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,309 | +$113 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 324d | XZCapital | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,278 | +$86 +1.2% | 4 |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $177,106 | +$20,728 +12% | 5 | |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,833 | +$45 +2.4% | 4 | |
| 324d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$14 +1.4% | 4 | |
| 324d | myred | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,747 | −$253 −2.9% | — |
| 324d | blackbach2 fills | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $12,898 | +$663 +5.1% | 5 |
| 324d | 0xrnge | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,817 | +$41 +2.3% | 5 |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$31 −2.8% | — | |
| 325d | JoeBlack01 | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | −$39 −2.4% | — |
| 325d | Abandoned-Cabbage2 fills | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,618 | +$199 +3.0% | 5 |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,998 | +$141 +2.8% | 5 | |
| 325d | veterano | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,889 | +$111 +3.8% | 5 |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | +$60 +4.2% | 5 | |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,260 | +$141 +4.3% | 5 | |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,099 | +$487 +4.8% | 5 | |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$94 −7.8% | — | |
| 325d | 003hao | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,277 | −$308 −9.4% | — |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | −$129 −11% | — | |
| 325d | minisobaby | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 15 |
| 325d | Thin-Print | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,194 | +$137 +6.3% | 6 |
| 325d | AlexPro2 fills | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,094 | −$794 −26% | — |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $4,876 | +$4,876 +100% | — | |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,838 | +$162 +8.8% | 5 | |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,599 | +$567 +10% | 6 | |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $4,429 | +$4,429 +100% | — | |
| 325d | Crock95 | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $3,103 | +$3,103 +100% | — |
| 325d | chapp | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,163 | −$521 −24% | — |
| 325d | sergi84 | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,622 | −$378 −23% | — |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 10 | |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $2,485 | +$2,485 +100% | — | |
| 326d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | −$590 −49% | — | |
| 326d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $3,844 | −$3,844 −100% | 15 | |
| 326d | phillytime33 | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 11 |
| 326d | randomlypunting | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $2,369 | −$2,369 −100% | 13 |
| 326d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $13,199 | −$13,199 −100% | 19 | |
| 326d | sdiff1232 fills | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $3,566 | +$3,566 +100% | — |
| 326d | itrusty | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $7,166 | −$2,058 −29% | — |
| 326d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | −$458 −28% | — | |
| 326d | NikeJEsus | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SellYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | +$1,071 +100% | — |
| 326d | chapp | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$684 +34% | 8 |
| 326d | NikeJEsus3 fills | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $5,984 | −$5,984 −100% | 14 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Government of Ukraine publicly agrees to a U.S.-approved peace framework for the Russo–Ukrainian war, by November 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the agreement must be explicitly described as Ukraine’s formal acceptance of either (1) the U.S. 28-point peace plan, or (2) a revised or alternative peace framework that the United States publicly states it has approved. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”, regardless of if/when the agreement is implemented, enters into force, or is fully carried out. Counter proposals by Ukraine, agreements to “treat the U.S. framework as a basis”, “work within the framework” or other ambiguous statements will not qualify unless they are clearly described by both sides or a consensus of credible reporting as Ukraine’s formal acceptance of a U.S.-approved peace framework. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.