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Polymarket wallet 0x4adaf67d845dc61cc3b93bac85cdad3633284ea3 · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Overlooked-Base
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 37 | 27¢ → 16¢ | $6 | −$4 −43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,015 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 59 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 90 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $30 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | SellDown90¢ | $16 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BuyDown54¢ | $10 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | SellUp82¢ | $9 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BuyUp46¢ | $5 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BuyDown3¢ | $1 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BuyDown54¢ | $31 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SellUp66¢ | $1 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SellDown1¢ | $1 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BuyUp52¢ | $1 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BuyDown5¢ | $5 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 231d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes27¢ | $10 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BuyUp34¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.