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Polymarket wallet 0x4b43d9420dff2c1748c4d478a6db80d97638f0eb · on Polymarket since Feb 20, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 139 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$8 −81% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 296 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BuyUp45¢ | $104 |
| 160d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BuyUp34¢ | $26 |
| 160d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 220d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BuyUp68¢ | $50 |
| 221d | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BuyYes76¢ | $100 |
| 221d | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BuyYes60¢ | $100 |
| 227d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes40¢ | $10 |
| 234d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BuyUp84¢ | $10 |
| 234d | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | SellYes46¢ | $19 |
| 234d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $100 |
| 234d | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BuyYes50¢ | $20 |
| 239d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $0 |
| 239d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $2 |
| 239d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $0 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BuyYes53¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.