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Polymarket wallet 0x4b81871b80d6f19365e386c8533aaa0f130bb19f · on Polymarket since Oct 21, 2024 · also shown as Darling-Tophat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$6 +59% |
| Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$3 +28% |
| Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +21% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.7% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| GPT-5 released in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 712d | Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ | $10 |
| 720d | Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or? | BuyYes94¢ | $10 |
| 720d | Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship? | BuyYes78¢ | $10 |
| 722d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes58¢ | $10 |
| 723d | Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | BuyYes92¢ | $10 |
| 724d | GPT-5 released in 2024? | BuyYes20¢ | $10 |
| 725d | Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | BuyYes83¢ | $10 |
| 725d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes63¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.