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Polymarket wallet 0x4d8afc01e1144c65f4dde68c2d880ab6e47f1f78 · on Polymarket since Dec 28, 2024 · also shown as Perfumed-Meringue
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 40 | 51¢ → 89¢ | $35 | +$15 +74% |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.