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Polymarket wallet 0x4e2df126c7b810db3ecc86eaeba9d0519166743d · on Polymarket since May 8, 2026 · also shown as Silver-Cluster
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,687 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $83 | −$175 −68% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,053 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,296 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 703 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 944 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.