vpz.business

Polymarket wallet 0x504f037628609d892083f652448c4e8f296fa532 · on Polymarket since Mar 30, 2026 · also shown as Bad-Rally

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $100
All-time profit: −$23.8
Volume traded: $4.02K
All-time rank: #2,180,942
Markets traded: 52
Recent hit rate: 65%20 of last 31 closed

Open positions

23 markets · $100

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	50¢ → 100¢	$100	+$50 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	13	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	99¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	14	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	260	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Trump say "Pilot" or "Crew" or "Staff" 5+ times during Monday news conference?Settled - ready to redeem	No	9	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	232	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	7	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	464	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	928	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	47	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	29	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Settled - ready to redeem	No	24	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	93¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	31	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
154d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	BuyDown36¢	$1
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	BuyUp6¢	$1
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	SellDown89¢	$2
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	BuyDown39¢	$1
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	SellDown97¢	$1
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	BuyDown75¢	$1
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	BuyDown2¢	$1
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BuyDown81¢	$5
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	SellDown93¢	$8
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BuyDown56¢	$5
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	BuyDown44¢	$5
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	BuyDown1¢	$5
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	BuyDown53¢	$5
156d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	BuyDown56¢	$5
157d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	BuyUp53¢	$5
157d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BuyDown24¢	$5
157d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	BuyDown49¢	$5
163d	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	BuyYes43¢	$20
188d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
189d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	BuyDown2¢	$5
189d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	BuyDown54¢	$10
189d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	SellDown9¢	$1
189d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	BuyDown45¢	$5
189d	Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 10?	BuyNo63¢	$10
190d	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes50¢	$50
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	BuyUp72¢	$10
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	BuyUp44¢	$10
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	BuyUp47¢	$5
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	BuyUp5¢	$1
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	BuyUp40¢	$5
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	BuyUp78¢	$10
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	BuyUp66¢	$10
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp1¢	$5
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	BuyUp38¢	$5
192d	Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	BuyNo41¢	$10
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyDown67¢	$5
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	BuyDown39¢	$5
194d	Will Trump say "Pilot" or "Crew" or "Staff" 5+ times during Monday news conference?	BuyNo22¢	$2
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	BuyDown61¢	$5
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	BuyUp99¢	$10
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	BuyUp93¢	$5
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	BuyUp28¢	$5
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	BuyDown99¢	$15
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	BuyDown93¢	$5
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	BuyUp87¢	$20
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	BuyDown70¢	$10
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	SellDown3¢	$0
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	BuyUp89¢	$15
195d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	BuyDown36¢	$5
196d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	BuyUp66¢	$10
196d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	BuyUp46¢	$5
197d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	BuyYes68¢	$20
198d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	BuyUp60¢	$6
198d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	BuyDown31¢	$10
198d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	BuyUp<1¢	$1
199d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	BuyUp17¢	$5
199d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	BuyUp28¢	$5
199d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	BuyDown82¢	$10
199d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	BuyDown14¢	$1
199d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	BuyUp27¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 31 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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