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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,848 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 192d | sdhyky2 fills | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,146 | −$48 −0.4% | — |
| 192d | L.X | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 192d | A69420 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,032 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,882 | +$18 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 192d | pmwinner | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,450 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,490 | +$137 +2.5% | 20 | |
| 192d | blunderbot | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | −$16 −1.5% | — |
| 192d | okcoolstorybro | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,962 | +$38 +1.3% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,138 | +$269 +2.2% | 20 | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$33 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 192d | Goodgoing | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,582 | −$131 −5.1% | — |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | −$49 −3.4% | — | |
| 192d | Neon-Gargoyle | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,617 | +$97 +2.7% | 20 |
| 192d | sasuke971 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,647 | +$228 +3.0% | 20 |
| 192d | hluser232 fills | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,129 | −$186 −4.5% | — |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,678 | −$322 −4.8% | — | |
| 192d | pmwinner | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | −$48 −4.8% | — |
| 192d | Trustinghorse | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,987 | +$208 +4.2% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $27,304 | +$1,957 +7.2% | 20 | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,755 | +$145 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,650 | +$350 +3.6% | 20 | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,116 | +$316 +5.2% | 20 | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,624 | +$313 +8.6% | 20 | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | −$128 −6.5% | — | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | +$87 +6.4% | 20 | |
| 192d | Santeau - 34571 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$42 +3.7% | 20 |
| 192d | jdcgo | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,758 | +$240 +4.2% | 20 |
| 192d | Eatpraylove | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | +$95 +4.2% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$104 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 192d | RedChoco | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | −$331 −18% | — |
| 192d | Atn | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | −$316 −18% | — |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | −$91 −5.6% | — | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,737 | +$114 +4.2% | 20 | |
| 192d | Odysseus7 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | +$180 +6.4% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$54 +4.8% | 20 | |
| 192d | RedChoco | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | +$43 +2.0% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$98 +4.9% | 20 | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$35 +2.5% | 20 | |
| 192d | DeSanta | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,073 | +$114 +2.8% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,123 | +$244 +7.8% | 20 | |
| 192d | bc7g | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,508 | +$114 +7.5% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,975 | −$330 −11% | — | |
| 192d | cashy | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $7,730 | +$672 +8.7% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | −$313 −24% | — | |
| 192d | sdhyky2 fills | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,260 | +$910 +17% | 20 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | +$149 +8.6% | 20 | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,837 | +$549 +14% | 20 | |
| 192d | 0xB29304109238401 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,106 | +$782 +37% | 20 |
| 192d | ronaldk | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$615 +49% | 20 |
| 192d | Foolish-Webpage | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 20 |
| 192d | AnonSequitur | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $3,160 | −$1,850 −59% | — |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$505 +46% | 20 | |
| 192d | 881112 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,570 | +$885 +56% | 20 |
| 192d | kombuchaaa | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$734 −64% | — |
| 192d | Rs3Nurburgring | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,557 | −$1,557 −100% | 21 |
| 192d | Venerated-Wiseguy | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,341 | −$1,341 −100% | 26 |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | −$998 −80% | — | |
| 192d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$382 +38% | 20 |
Donald Trump announced a deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz of Tuesday, April 7, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/world/middleeast/trump-threat-strait-peace.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that this deadline has been extended or will not be enforced by Tuesday April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly state that the deadline has been extended or will not be enforced, including by providing a new deadline or through statements such as “the deadline has been moved back.” Broader statements, such as “we made good progress with Iran,” will qualify only if they are clearly and explicitly made in the context of an announcement that the deadline is being extended or not being enforced. If no qualifying announcement has been made by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the deadline is enforced. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, including on his official social media accounts. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify a qualifying announcement.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.