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Polymarket wallet 0x5157a81d86d00b93c4cb66a8b520f2979f8aaa2c · on Polymarket since Oct 19, 2025 · also shown as Honored-Helium
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d | Yes | 2,204 | 69¢ → 99¢ | $2,176 | +$666 +44% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 927 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$758 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,330 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14,415 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11,484 −100% |
| Dodgers vs. Blue JaysSettled - ready to redeem | Dodgers | 9,839 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,282 −100% |
| Cavaliers vs. WizardsSettled - ready to redeem | Wizards | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 734 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$396 −100% |
| Spurs vs. ThunderSettled - ready to redeem | Thunder | 4,081 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,653 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.