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Polymarket wallet 0x515b05e7ccbced7073d25d026dc7c21b404418c4 · on Polymarket since Dec 31, 2025 · also shown as Adventurous-Overcoat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 71¢ → 93¢ | $186 | +$44 +31% |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 2,994 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,467 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BuyNo71¢ | $142 |
| 220d | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SellNo6¢ | $17 |
| 221d | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BuyNo6¢ | $18 |
| 224d | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | SellNo51¢ | $101 |
| 224d | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | SellNo51¢ | $1 |
| 224d | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | BuyNo50¢ | $100 |
| 253d | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | BuyFURIA62¢ | $3,720 |
| 253d | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | BuyFURIA62¢ | $122 |
| 267d | Spread: Suns (-2.5) | BuyHawks48¢ | $288 |
| 267d | Spread: Suns (-2.5) | BuyHawks48¢ | $720 |
| 267d | Spread: Suns (-2.5) | BuyHawks48¢ | $528 |
| 267d | Spread: Suns (-2.5) | BuyHawks48¢ | $144 |
| 267d | Spread: Suns (-2.5) | BuyHawks48¢ | $96 |
| 279d | ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver49¢ | $1,323 |
| 279d | ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver49¢ | $144 |
| 290d | China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.