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Polymarket wallet 0x57425f4a03a559a53fb6a129e3e03b6571ee50a6 · on Polymarket since Oct 11, 2026 · also shown as Equatorial-Disclaimer-Automaton
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 974 | 67¢ → 42¢ | $404 | −$246 −38% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 45 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.1% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026Ends in 44d | Yes | 278 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$2 −17% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 588 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$6 −56% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? | BuyYes21¢ | $10 |
| 5d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 5d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 5d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 5d | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | BuyYes67¢ | $659 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.