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Polymarket wallet 0x58ef95ce4f201a73eb2b277e1fa6b076066c0f4a · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2026 · also shown as Embarrassed-Leading-Sarong
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 290 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $277 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,424 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $157 | −$28 −15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 49 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 28 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.