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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 65 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $65 | +$35 +117% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BuyNo46¢ | $31 |
| 145d | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens45¢ | $42 |
| 146d | Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | BuyCanadiens41¢ | $11 |
| 151d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes39¢ | $10 |
| 151d | Canadiens vs. Sabres | SellCanadiens>99¢ | $59 |
| 152d | Canadiens vs. Sabres | BuyCanadiens49¢ | $32 |
| 192d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SellNo2¢ | $1 |
| 193d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BuyNo86¢ | $37 |
| 193d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BuyNo54¢ | $20 |
| 193d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BuyNo64¢ | $20 |
| 193d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SellYes61¢ | $44 |
| 193d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BuyYes28¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.