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Polymarket wallet 0x64709eab5bb5a0348aae6c9a39f7f89e0ad01743 · on Polymarket since Mar 5, 2026 · also shown as Variable-Birdbath
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 89 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 155 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 227 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BuyDown26¢ | $24 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BuyUp35¢ | $26 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BuyDown65¢ | $103 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $26 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BuyUp30¢ | $5 |
| 164d | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BuyNo11¢ | $26 |
| 214d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BuyDown22¢ | $10 |
| 222d | Iran leadership change by March 13? | BuyYes12¢ | $25 |
| 226d | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | BuyNo<1¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.