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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,668 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 563 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,584 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,058 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 202d | Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BuyYes6¢ | $34 |
| 202d | Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BuyYes<1¢ | $6 |
| 202d | Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 202d | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyYes2¢ | $4 |
| 202d | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyYes2¢ | $26 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.