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Polymarket wallet 0x68930eec188de99aa0d63a5b92ffe0b779560ca8 · on Polymarket since Mar 23, 2025 · also shown as Granular-Reluctance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $33 | +$17 +100% |
| Clippers vs. LakersSettled - ready to redeem | Lakers | 31 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7 PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 51 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 421d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyDown50¢ | $17 |
| 429d | Marlins vs. Guardians | BuyGuardians55¢ | $16 |
| 453d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? | BuyDown50¢ | $5 |
| 456d | League of Legends: T1 vs. AG.AL | BuyT150¢ | $9 |
| 460d | Clippers vs. Lakers | BuyLakers55¢ | $17 |
| 490d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7 PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $26 |
| 490d | Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 505d | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2? | BuyYes83¢ | $39 |
| 505d | Will the highest temperature in London be 79°F or higher on May 30? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 536d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyUp60¢ | $50 |
| 543d | 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday? | BuyYes41¢ | $40 |
| 551d | Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BuyLos Angeles Dodgers76¢ | $44 |
| 551d | Will the ECB announce an increase? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 558d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyDown45¢ | $30 |
| 564d | Trail Blazers vs. Hawks | BuyHawks65¢ | $22 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.