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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 34,592 | 27¢ → 6¢ | $1,903 | −$7,360 −79% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.