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Polymarket wallet 0x746fb1be8434cfa4398c124aeff69f034e3e566d · on Polymarket since Mar 16, 2026 · also shown as Deafening-Sunshine
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 31,001 | 25¢ → 16¢ | $4,805 | −$2,852 −37% |
| Iran leadership change by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,962 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51,362 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$894 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21,010 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25,533 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,559 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42,898 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,070 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.