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Polymarket wallet 0x74d2864d3abe45b35a56bcdc09c332ea7eabcd23 · on Polymarket since Nov 15, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 65 | 52¢ → 80¢ | $52 | +$18 +53% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$3 +12% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Spain snap election called in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +11% |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 300d | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo52¢ | $34 |
| 314d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo99¢ | $20 |
| 320d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ | $9 |
| 330d | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes89¢ | $9 |
| 331d | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10 |
| 332d | Spain snap election called in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes89¢ | $18 |
| 333d | Spain snap election called in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $3 |
| 333d | Spain snap election called in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $10 |
| 333d | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ | $19 |
| 334d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes44¢ | $4 |
| 335d | Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo62¢ | $12 |
| 335d | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.