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Polymarket wallet 0x78d535d1a05d2d47ac2744b688216422b934cac2 · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Overlooked-Theater
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 422 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 164 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes34¢ | $6 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BuyDown17¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BuyDown19¢ | $20 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BuyUp6¢ | $15 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BuyUp14¢ | $15 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BuyUp25¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BuyUp41¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BuyUp46¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $15 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BuyUp6¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BuyDown62¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BuyUp66¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BuyUp67¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.