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Polymarket wallet 0x7ccc1c39a58c48bb376929b38e676f90f6e2188d · on Polymarket since Jan 20, 2026 · also shown as Swift-Geranium
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 833 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 610 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 272 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,793 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,589 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,539 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,875 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $46 |
| 265d | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | SellYes9¢ | $46 |
| 270d | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | BuyYes11¢ | $56 |
| 270d | Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $60 |
| 270d | US forces enter Iran by January 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $60 |
| 270d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $60 |
| 270d | Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? | BuyYes15¢ | $40 |
| 270d | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BuyYes12¢ | $100 |
| 270d | Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 270d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $20 |
| 270d | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BuyYes<1¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.