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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 412 | 64¢ → 83¢ | $339 | +$74 +28% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 584 | 59¢ → 40¢ | $233 | −$111 −32% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 229 | 70¢ → 22¢ | $50 | −$109 −68% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 44 | 90¢ → 26¢ | $11 | −$28 −72% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.