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Polymarket wallet 0x8bfe1a051ca40ec2e0ba5b842e2818496cf7c44d · on Polymarket since Nov 18, 2024 · also shown as Jolly-Shovel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15,866 | 51¢ → 89¢ | $14,042 | +$5,922 +73% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,670 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 909 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$149 −100% |
| Will Vance visit Greenland before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,760 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,947 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$643 −100% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,406 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21,944 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,529 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 485 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$199 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,614 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,801 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,408 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 18 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.