ArmandGeorge

Polymarket wallet 0x8cfa53f5e2d7e8dd2beff3377640b66752c92693 · on Polymarket since Oct 12, 2025 · also shown as Small-Cofactor

Open on Polymarket ↗@FPolat45039 ↗

The person has not changed, the change is the heart.

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: +$1.39K
Volume traded: $64.3K
All-time rank: #67,269
Markets traded: 147
Recent hit rate: 100%50 of last 50 closed

Open positions

67 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	15	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	480	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$240 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	484	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$242 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	350	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$175 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	505	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$253 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	485	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$243 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	487	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$244 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	620	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$310 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	580	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$290 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	800	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	499	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	503	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$252 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	475	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$238 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	501	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$251 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	480	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$240 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	560	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$280 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	508	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$254 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Falcons vs. ColtsSettled - ready to redeem	Falcons	5	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	503	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$252 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	650	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$325 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	488	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$244 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	503	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$252 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	650	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$325 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	680	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$340 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	15	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	480	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$240 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	580	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$290 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	370	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$185 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	496	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	493	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$247 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	590	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$295 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	540	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$270 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	850	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$425 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	650	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$325 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	380	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$190 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	496	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	650	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$325 −100%
Penguins vs. PredatorsSettled - ready to redeem	Penguins	2	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	700	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$350 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	484	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$242 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	502	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$251 −100%
Nets vs. MagicSettled - ready to redeem	Nets	10	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	491	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$246 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	610	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$305 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	800	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	490	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$245 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	495	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	750	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$375 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	495	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	15	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	499	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	502	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$251 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	805	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$403 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	510	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$255 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Pacers vs. NuggetsSettled - ready to redeem	Pacers	10	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	482	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$241 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	475	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$238 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	580	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$290 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
310d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?	BuyNo99¢	$1
314d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?	BuyNo99¢	$1
316d	Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 40% on December 10?	BuyNo96¢	$1
323d	Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?	BuyNo100¢	$1
334d	Will Bill Ackman say "Million" or "Billion 5+ times" during the X Space event on November 18?	BuyYes96¢	$1
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$167
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$20
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$65
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$251
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$218
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$225
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$248
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$246
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$11
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$1
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$240
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$253
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$8
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BuyDown51¢	$248
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$238
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$8
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$241
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$239
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$235
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$228
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$8
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$238
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$235
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$18
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$247
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$232
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$243
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$242
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$247
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$251
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$246
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$242
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$184
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$244
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$246
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$25
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$3
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$4
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$34
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$11
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$249
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$249
335d	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$240
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$244
335d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$238

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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