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Polymarket wallet 0x8f50db367de49f23f9688fa942b8876c746d96bd · on Polymarket since Mar 18, 2025 · also shown as Pricey-Rug
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,012 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$412 +69% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 894 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 588 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$459 −100% |
| Was JFK assassination an inside job?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,530 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$600 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 336 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 464d | Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyYes97¢ | $402 |
| 464d | Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyYes61¢ | $18 |
| 464d | Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyYes27¢ | $33 |
| 464d | Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyYes26¢ | $5 |
| 464d | Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August? | BuyNo59¢ | $600 |
| 464d | Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31? | BuyYes40¢ | $400 |
| 464d | Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31? | BuyYes37¢ | $200 |
| 464d | Will Google have the top AI model on July 31? | SellNo41¢ | $173 |
| 474d | Will Google have the top AI model on July 31? | BuyNo35¢ | $149 |
| 504d | Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30? | BuyYes15¢ | $49 |
| 514d | Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $50 |
| 578d | Was JFK assassination an inside job? | BuyYes4¢ | $48 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.