AlexandroBaez

Polymarket wallet 0x92071d262b70821a01498a03adbd532d3dc000f2 · on Polymarket since Oct 10, 2025 · also shown as Reasonable-Ephemera

Open on Polymarket ↗

Be the best version of you.

Positions now worth: $10
All-time profit: −$2.07K
Volume traded: $26.2K
All-time rank: #3,119,621
Markets traded: 174
Recent hit rate: 92%46 of last 50 closed

Open positions

96 markets · $10

Market	Holding		Paid → now
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	10	97¢ → 100¢	$10	+$0 +3.2%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
XRP Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	19	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$98 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	270	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$135 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	150	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$75 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	321	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$161 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	720	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$360 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	420	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$210 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	70	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Avalanche vs. SabresSettled - ready to redeem	Sabres	5	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	120	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	15	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	480	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$240 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	36	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	110	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$55 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	180	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	261	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$131 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	335	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$168 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	260	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$130 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	206	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$103 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
267d	US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BuyNo97¢	$10
279d	Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?	BuyNo>99¢	$10
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$103
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$168
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$131
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$7
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$10
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$118
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$125
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$4
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$5
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$152
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$186
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$3
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$4
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$3
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$4
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$3
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$38
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$160
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$244
302d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$1
316d	Spurs vs. Cavaliers	BuyCavaliers64¢	$3
316d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$30
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$20
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$79
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$128
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$3
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$20
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$5
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$20
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$75
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$62
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$15
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$20
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$80
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$50
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$20
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$100
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$43
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$10
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$20
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$4
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$20
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$50
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$200
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$200
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$50
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$200
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$50
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$90
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$183

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.