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Polymarket wallet 0xa21e37ac5ec283f46a2c904151a70318c226d3a8 · on Polymarket since Sep 22, 2024 · also shown as Mammoth-Refuge
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.4% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,841,599 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1.32M −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,033 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,619 −100% |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10,900 −100% |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 221 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 19 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.