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Polymarket wallet 0xa226570d47e6b7a4f4ed5cee070c1952f18692e9 · on Polymarket since Jan 18, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Ends in 21d | No | 99 | 70¢ → 51¢ | $50 | −$20 −28% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 175 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$17 −79% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 2–6 seconds?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump attend UFC 324?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 6–10 seconds?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 286 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65d | Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BuyNo70¢ | $71 |
| 65d | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? | BuyYes10¢ | $5 |
| 144d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo74¢ | $62 |
| 179d | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo74¢ | $46 |
| 248d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BuyUp38¢ | $5 |
| 269d | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $21 |
| 270d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Will Trump attend UFC 324? | BuyYes11¢ | $5 |
| 271d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 272d | Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 6–10 seconds? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 272d | Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 2–6 seconds? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.