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Polymarket wallet 0xa72040b50e6f31e412340abe1f42a4b09fa632ff · on Polymarket since Jan 28, 2026 · also shown as Gullible-Likelihood
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$5 +50% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 259d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BuyDown66¢ | $9 |
| 259d | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 259d | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $8 |
| 259d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes97¢ | $8 |
| 262d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo26¢ | $99 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.