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Polymarket wallet 0xa83e100324690ff83be3699a8e6cfd2ab3c5ee22 · on Polymarket since Dec 30, 2025 · also shown as Criminal-Hole
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 84,464 | 50¢ → 98¢ | $82,690 | +$40,458 +96% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 84,464 | 50¢ → 2¢ | $1,774 | −$40,458 −96% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,000 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $855 | +$40 +4.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $174 | +$12 +7.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$502 −100% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 131 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.