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Polymarket wallet 0xabce5d738d357b358797665435d7b209dfdeafd6 · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2026 · also shown as Thoughtful-Ignorance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19,248 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$228 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 55 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $216 |
| 256d | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 256d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BuyUp17¢ | $11 |
| 256d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BuyDown36¢ | $20 |
| 256d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | SellUp73¢ | $7 |
| 256d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BuyUp53¢ | $5 |
| 256d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | SellUp31¢ | $0 |
| 256d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | SellUp40¢ | $1 |
| 256d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BuyUp29¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.