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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +97 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255d | Simon4s2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | rwo2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $43,135 | +$83 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  49023809234904 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,000 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  zb82 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,175 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $101,898 | +$102 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | aviato2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | Thrifty-CystNew account | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,785 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly6 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $148,260 | +$1,461 +1.0% | 4 |
| 255d |  bigbrainUser | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,191 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $71,242 | +$533 +0.7% | 4 |
| 255d | Last-Position | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,364 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | Threadbare-Astronomy2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,766 | +$37 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | mndsr2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  The-Joker | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,629 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | rwo2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $29,940 | −$60 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | JamieB0nd | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,699 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | Snoorrason2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,456 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | wwwsszxa | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,097 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  hotpotato881 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  DickTurbin7 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $37,470 | +$121 +0.3% | 4 |
| 255d |  Kimera- | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,312 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  adonpoli4 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,417 | +$83 +0.5% | 4 |
| 255d | mm9uxa3ruau | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,226 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  ScottyNooo | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,502 | +$43 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | 0x1ddf…2598 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1,482 | −$1,482 −100% | 7 |
| 255d | Palace87092 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,289 | +$186 +1.0% | 4 |
| 255d |  PantheraUncia | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,296 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | tgrdy | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,949 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  Bromley863 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,705 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 255d |  debased2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,762 | −$38 −0.3% | — |
| 255d | DawnOfYemen2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,365 | +$28 +0.6% | 4 |
| 255d | Freelist | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,936 | +$64 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  TruongMyLan | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | regale | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,773 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | alex5622 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,960 | +$100 +0.3% | 4 |
| 255d |  studmuffin6969 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 255d |  noreasapa | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $28,003 | +$84 +0.3% | 4 |
| 255d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly3 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $151,678 | −$626 −0.4% | — |
| 255d |  Everlasting-Gobstopper | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,817 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,303 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | 0x2b36…473b3 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,102 | +$54 +0.7% | 4 |
| 255d |  HolyMoses7 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $69,624 | −$140 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  OnePercentClub | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,153 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | hesitant2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,381 | −$19 −0.6% | — |
| 255d | szakal | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,403 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | Hans323 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,831 | +$63 +0.3% | 4 |
| 255d | gegepoka | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,133 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | masturbator3000 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,130 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  RelaySucks | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,261 | +$27 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | 49023809234904 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,979 | −$21 −0.3% | — |
| 255d | Ordon | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,621 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 255d |  wish-2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,586 | +$50 +1.1% | 4 |
| 255d | Miraculoso | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $4,313 | −$4,313 −100% | 15 |
| 255d | Kevindoto | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $30,938 | −$62 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | OnePercentClub | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,154 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  Cheddar-Factory | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  LlamaEnjoyer | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,557 | +$93 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  tourists | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $99,800 | +$200 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  tsybka3 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $319,360 | +$640 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d |  OraculumNobius15 fills | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $49,150 | +$256 +0.5% | 4 |
SMartGene999,994 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation on Mexican soil by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No” U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.