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Polymarket wallet 0xb269d0362e19bbf94d7821fa26af8a2c8ce8c8a9 · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 55¢ → 100¢ | $18 | +$8 +82% |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 18¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$9 +456% |
| U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 827 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 697d | GPT-5 released in 2024? | SellYes5¢ | $1 |
| 707d | Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024? | BuyYes1¢ | $4 |
| 708d | German Bundestag dissolved in 2024? | BuyYes18¢ | $2 |
| 711d | GPT-5 released in 2024? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 711d | Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 711d | Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree? | BuyYes55¢ | $10 |
| 711d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo39¢ | $10 |
| 711d | U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes? | BuyYes8¢ | $8 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.