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Polymarket wallet 0xb278ba87cb1da32dc771ed6bebb86300e9519299 · on Polymarket since Sep 26, 2025 · also shown as Difficult-Barrage
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +33% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.5% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 368d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes88¢ | $1 |
| 368d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes88¢ | $1 |
| 373d | Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
| 383d | US government shutdown in 2025? | BuyYes69¢ | $1 |
| 385d | US government shutdown in 2025? | BuyYes83¢ | $1 |
| 386d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes80¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.