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Polymarket wallet 0xb3f468a898ca15e86dc56f39b4b5de3e58785e60 · on Polymarket since Jun 25, 2024 · also shown as Adored-Family
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$15 +41% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$6 +12% |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $28 | +$10 +54% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?Settled - ready to redeem | 100k | 20 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$7 +54% |
| Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 659d | Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration? | BuyNo65¢ | $18 |
| 659d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes89¢ | $45 |
| 659d | Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane? | BuyNo51¢ | $51 |
| 659d | Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | BuyYes71¢ | $12 |
| 659d | Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? | Buy100k65¢ | $13 |
| 659d | Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | BuyYes71¢ | $23 |
| 771d | Colts vs. Texans | BuyTexans59¢ | $30 |
| 779d | Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" during Michigan town hall? | BuyYes89¢ | $33 |
| 794d | Will Harris lead by 1.1-1.5 points on August 16? | BuyYes37¢ | $20 |
| 810d | Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle? | BuyNo32¢ | $24 |
| 827d | Will Spain win the 2024 Euros? | BuyYes60¢ | $31 |
| 844d | Will England win? | BuyYes74¢ | $31 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.