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Polymarket wallet 0xb4ad3c619b622158870d9fa0541e77b3ff545fbe · on Polymarket since Oct 23, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94d | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $4 |
| 177d | Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | SellYes20¢ | $148 |
| 178d | Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $88 |
| 178d | Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $20 |
| 178d | Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $15 |
| 178d | Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $22 |
| 178d | Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $18 |
| 303d | Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division? | SellNo78¢ | $121 |
| 345d | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31? | SellNo30¢ | $908 |
| 346d | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31? | BuyNo43¢ | $1,301 |
| 346d | Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island? | SellNo20¢ | $1,290 |
| 347d | Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island? | BuyNo61¢ | $1,327 |
| 347d | Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island? | BuyNo61¢ | $15 |
| 347d | Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island? | BuyNo61¢ | $2,593 |
| 359d | Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division? | BuyNo71¢ | $110 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.