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Polymarket wallet 0xba8ccf839a48249cfa42773a2125b1c9f8caefe9 · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Dependent-Moccasins
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 299 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 72 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,070 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| GPT ads by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,484 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$189 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,809 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$182 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BuyUp26¢ | $19 |
| 227d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BuyUp5¢ | $10 |
| 227d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BuyUp23¢ | $20 |
| 262d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyNo1¢ | $30 |
| 269d | GPT ads by March 31? | BuyNo6¢ | $80 |
| 272d | GPT ads by March 31? | BuyNo5¢ | $110 |
| 276d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes6¢ | $72 |
| 276d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyNo6¢ | $5 |
| 277d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $110 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.