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Polymarket wallet 0xbdf3165c9df4c2c5606a7139589fb5960f0b986e · on Polymarket since Mar 10, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,494 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 924 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Gold missing from Fort Knox?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Greens be part of the next German government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 834 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 549d | Will the AFD be part of the next German government? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 550d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyNo2¢ | $5 |
| 556d | Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April? | BuyYes9¢ | $7 |
| 585d | Will the Greens be part of the next German government? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 585d | Gold missing from Fort Knox? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 585d | Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | BuyYes38¢ | $5 |
| 585d | Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes<1¢ | $25 |
| 585d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyNo4¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.