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Polymarket wallet 0xbfb7ff914564f3637d2560e01dd37b0488c3ffb5 · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Traumatic-Dress
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 187 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 221d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BuyYes12¢ | $3 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BuyDown20¢ | $5 |
| 231d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BuyYes47¢ | $25 |
| 231d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | BuyYes11¢ | $20 |
| 231d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BuyYes30¢ | $50 |
| 231d | Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 231d | Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BuyUp8¢ | $10 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BuyUp3¢ | $6 |
| 231d | Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | BuyNo<1¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.