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Polymarket wallet 0xc094a45643f1109798d6a2f19f646f3bb8b0a1ae · on Polymarket since Oct 30, 2025 · also shown as Muddy-Queen
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 50¢ → 96¢ | $960 | +$460 +92% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 50¢ → 4¢ | $41 | −$460 −92% |
| Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,777 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$889 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155d | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | SellYes51¢ | $5 |
| 155d | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | SellYes57¢ | $22 |
| 159d | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | SellYes35¢ | $60 |
| 159d | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | SellNo19¢ | $355 |
| 280d | Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BuyYes15¢ | $3 |
| 285d | Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? | BuyNo93¢ | $10 |
| 293d | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo69¢ | $10 |
| 323d | Will Phantom launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ | $141 |
| 340d | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $100 |
| 340d | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $100 |
| 340d | Will Solana reach $400 before 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $300 |
| 348d | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BuyNo74¢ | $30 |
| 348d | Aster all time high by December 31? | BuyNo84¢ | $1 |
| 352d | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,524 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.