Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −16 pts | −48 pts | 4¢ · 9¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152d |  x.o | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,975 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 |
| 152d | Ordon | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,996 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 152d | NeoOracle2 fills | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,889 | +$117 +2.0% | 2 |
| 152d |  OraculumNobius | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,181 | +$115 +5.3% | 2 |
| 155d | 0xzipper | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | SellYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | +$1,010 +100% | — |
yen4u10,000 shares
KostyaDDD1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any fund with holdings of at least $250,000,000 US in $IBIT (https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf), that forms a holdings allocation of 25% or greater in that asset, in either Q3 2025 or Q4 2025 shows holdings of $10,000,000 or less US in Q1 2026 on their 13F filing (https://www.sec.gov/submit-filings/forms-index) when that information is made public. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on information that is public as of May 15, 2026 ET. The resolution source for this market will be information from the 13F for a specified company.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.