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Polymarket wallet 0xa2cd4ccda9a1f95949df7a3355c4c2daa0642ba0 · on Polymarket since Oct 17, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,455,976 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $1,391,185 | +$120K +9.5% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,353 | 88¢ → 73¢ | $3,156 | −$680 −18% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27,501 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$225 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,072 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$225 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,420,372 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$805K −100% |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,031 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,214 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27,434 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,958 −100% |
| Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,356 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 18 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.