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Polymarket wallet 0xc1b5cacd0726f5c87a49c698f5d466fb42e9533a · on Polymarket since Mar 4, 2026 · also shown as Strange-Mistake
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −55% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,010 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.