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Polymarket wallet 0xc4a996eb347eba671c4593229bc10726548e4d64 · on Polymarket since Oct 19, 2024 · also shown as Thunderous-Mansard
CHANCE-ED4B1DE2AE00FBE8
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 750 | 44¢ → 73¢ | $544 | +$214 +65% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 332 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $288 | +$50 +21% |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 138 | 55¢ → 17¢ | $23 | −$53 −70% |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 28 | 31¢ → 59¢ | $17 | +$8 +89% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Bilibili Gaming | 1,104 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$197 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 756 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,072 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,464 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$246 −100% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.