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Polymarket wallet 0xc4fa72cd9723daa589794f5c8900ede6c62d33c3 · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Major-Liar
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 101 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $101 | +$51 +102% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 65 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $65 | +$15 +30% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 57 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $57 | +$7 +15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 54 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $54 | +$4 +8.7% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 157 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo33¢ | $51 |
| 230d | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BuyNo49¢ | $50 |
| 230d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo87¢ | $50 |
| 230d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyNo77¢ | $50 |
| 230d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo92¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.