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Polymarket wallet 0xc8028cd25ae05f7b59f6519f2f21f9d88f2c2dfc · on Polymarket since Mar 3, 2026 · also shown as Ill-Informed-Bachelor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$14 −70% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BuyDown20¢ | $20 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | SellDown45¢ | $46 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | SellDown45¢ | $88 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | SellDown45¢ | $23 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BuyDown21¢ | $21 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BuyDown19¢ | $20 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BuyDown29¢ | $45 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BuyDown31¢ | $32 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BuyDown40¢ | $59 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BuyDown40¢ | $40 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BuyDown40¢ | $2 |
| 143d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BuyDown40¢ | $19 |
| 143d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.