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Polymarket wallet 0xcfab0d0690d4b752bbd700398e0b412a31738200 · on Polymarket since Oct 31, 2024 · also shown as Spotted-Password
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$4 +4.3% |
| New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.8% |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes96¢ | $96 |
| 236d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyNo99¢ | $199 |
| 236d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 236d | New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28? | BuyYes98¢ | $20 |
| 236d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $92 |
| 236d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $72 |
| 700d | GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? | SellYes17¢ | $420 |
| 700d | GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? | BuyYes18¢ | $450 |
| 715d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes61¢ | $5 |
| 715d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes61¢ | $17 |
| 715d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes61¢ | $17 |
| 715d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes61¢ | $21 |
| 715d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes61¢ | $245 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.