shortfiat

Polymarket wallet 0xd2db96417706df612b4dacdaf2ba624cbf94d5b7 · on Polymarket since May 27, 2025 · also shown as Waterlogged-Arrest

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $6.51K
All-time profit: −$5.29K
Volume traded: $149K
All-time rank: #3,170,863
Markets traded: 26
Recent hit rate: 100%5 of last 5 closed

Open positions

21 markets · $6.51K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	6,127	40¢ → 100¢	$6,127	+$3,660 +148%
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	232	57¢ → 100¢	$232	+$99 +75%
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d	Yes	3,200	20¢ → 5¢	$155	−$501 −76%
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	587	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	70	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Starmer out before July?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	81,506	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,980 −100%
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	15	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Alan Garber out as Harvard President before July?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	300	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $113K on June 3?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	48	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Elon out of Trump administration before July?Settled - ready to redeem	No	12	85¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	618	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$29 −100%
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	179	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$120 −100%
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	85	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	333	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	350	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$105 −100%
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	51,626	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6,216 −100%
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,100	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,100	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$78 −100%
Starmer out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	300	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	494	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" this week?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	185	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$110 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes14¢	$272
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$263
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes16¢	$187
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$4
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$68
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$0
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$10
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$3
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$37
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$59
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$0
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$0
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$165
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$22
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$1
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$83
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$2
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$1
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$2
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$116
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$36
249d	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	BuyYes30¢	$105
249d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes18¢	$1,000
250d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$1,032
250d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$1
251d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$25
251d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$525
251d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes11¢	$142
251d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$713
252d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$240
252d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$532
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$1
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$3
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$31
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$117
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$144
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes41¢	$103
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes41¢	$132
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$73
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$1
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$1
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$60
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes16¢	$96
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes41¢	$4
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes41¢	$14
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes41¢	$1
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes41¢	$1
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes41¢	$5
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes41¢	$7
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes41¢	$1
254d	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes26¢	$151
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes40¢	$32
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes40¢	$19
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes40¢	$1
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes40¢	$1
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes40¢	$56
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes40¢	$118
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes42¢	$188
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes43¢	$264
254d	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes43¢	$32

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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