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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d |  RememberAmalek | Starmer out before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,476 | −$24 −1.0% | — |
| 482d |  Sybau13 | Starmer out before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 482d |  Rasalgethi | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 |
| 482d | lowrisk25 fills | Starmer out before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,076 | −$525 −4.7% | — |
| 483d |  archaic | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$10 +0.7% | 4 |
| 485d | rdba | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,706 | +$159 +1.0% | 4 |
| 486d | qwertyasdfghjkl | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,594 | +$164 +1.1% | 4 |
| 487d |  perfectnostalgia | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,778 | +$22 +1.2% | 4 |
| 497d | rbczz7 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $62,879 | +$2,122 +3.4% | 4 |
| 499d | startrader644 | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,949 | +$51 +1.7% | 4 |
| 500d |  Coram_Deo5 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $18,787 | +$499 +2.7% | 4 |
| 500d | WeJustBettin | Starmer out before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | −$32 −2.3% | — |
| 500d | 001xy2 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,412 | +$225 +2.7% | 4 |
| 501d | rbczz | Starmer out before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,798 | −$199 −2.0% | — |
| 502d | Solid-Gnat | Starmer out before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$44 −3.8% | — |
| 503d | affs2079118 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $40,326 | +$3,239 +8.0% | 4 |
| 503d | andad5 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $15,144 | +$616 +4.1% | 4 |
| 503d |  beigesun | Starmer out before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | −$74 −5.2% | — |
| 503d | affs207913 fills | Starmer out before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $41,082 | −$1,642 −4.0% | — |
| 506d | 0xTrinity | Starmer out before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $30,879 | −$1,241 −4.0% | — |
| 506d |  SirHarryOakes3 fills | Starmer out before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,171 | −$196 −3.2% | — |
| 512d | simpleman6 fills | Starmer out before July? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $36,427 | −$4,322 −12% | — |
| 514d | 0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B9 | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,366 | +$62 +1.4% | 4 |
| 515d | 0xTrinity2 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $28,024 | +$2,653 +9.5% | 4 |
| 516d | 001xy | Starmer out before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | −$51 −4.0% | — |
| 517d | Changer321 | Starmer out before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,290 | −$384 −3.7% | — |
| 522d | Solid-Gnat | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$46 +4.0% | 4 |
| 526d | z0vulon | Starmer out before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$40 −3.9% | — |
| 530d | lava-lava3 fills | Starmer out before July? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $19,811 | −$1,453 −7.3% | — |
| 531d | alwaysOn | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | +$90 +5.3% | 4 |
| 532d | SirHarryOakes | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,444 | +$339 +5.3% | 4 |
| 533d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,212 | +$169 +5.3% | 4 |
| 533d |  Mr-Krabs2 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,992 | +$208 +7.0% | 4 |
| 534d |  TheKinginYellow2 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,386 | +$264 +11% | 4 |
| 546d | lowrisk24 | Starmer out before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,061 | −$132 −6.4% | — |
| 564d | lowrisk22 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $16,536 | +$870 +5.3% | 4 |
| 570d | Changer3212 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,364 | +$534 +5.7% | 4 |
| 576d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Starmer out before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,102 | −$198 −6.4% | — |
| 576d | Mr-Krabs | Starmer out before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | −$72 −6.4% | — |
| 577d | Retired-Davis3 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $26,661 | +$1,702 +6.4% | 4 |
| 579d | Bombarda | Starmer out before July? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,438 | −$259 −7.5% | — |
| 587d | 0x2cfD681 | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $33,816 | +$2,523 +7.5% | 4 |
| 589d |  Wickier2 fills | Starmer out before July? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $5,545 | −$805 −15% | — |
| 590d |  RecursiveDragon2 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $12,292 | +$1,069 +8.7% | 4 |
| 593d |  Euan2 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,312 | +$486 +11% | 4 |
| 593d | Qtyu2 fills | Starmer out before July? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $7,408 | −$843 −11% | — |
| 593d | lava-lava2 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,587 | +$1,027 +11% | 4 |
| 594d | lowrisk242 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,580 | +$420 +9.2% | 4 |
| 595d | longdated-poli | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | +$155 +9.9% | 4 |
| 595d | hughjonesd2 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,136 | +$539 +10% | 4 |
| 609d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Starmer out before July? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | −$220 −12% | — |
| 615d | Jimmychoo2 fills | Starmer out before July? | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $2,927 | +$2,927 +100% | — |
| 621d | goldingboy | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$204 +12% | 4 |
| 622d | comon119 | Starmer out before July? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,309 | −$1,309 −100% | 6 |
| 622d | simpleman4 fills | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $34,000 | +$4,249 +12% | 4 |
| 624d | Phoenixxx | Starmer out before July? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,819 | −$279 −9.9% | — |
| 624d | Postric | Starmer out before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,723 | −$845 −8.7% | — |
| 629d | Shirakaba | Starmer out before July? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,671 | −$364 −14% | — |
| 630d | Kapii | Starmer out before July? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,055 | +$378 +12% | 4 |
| 630d |  Tenebrus7 | Starmer out before July? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | −$179 −15% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between January 2 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.