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Polymarket wallet 0xde92291f366730da5f019251cc31384d3bef5e10 · on Polymarket since Nov 9, 2025 · also shown as Complex-Housing
Extremely dumb
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 94,545 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11,715 −100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 115,365 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34,936 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,600 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15,294 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,999 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | FURIA | 21,288 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8,082 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 952,323 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,340 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 295 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 797 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$244 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.